AccuWeather Revises Winter Outlook

The revised AccuWeather Winter Outlook.
Click here for the AccuWeather Winter Outlook blog article.

AccuWeather has revised their winter outlook.  A few changes were made, especially here in the Northeastern part of the United States. 

The main change comes in the temperatures.  AccuWeather is now believing the winter will not be as cold as they had once thought for the Northeast.  Long lasting shots of cold arctic air are not as highly expected now but according to the weather blog, "there can still be cold snaps with below-normal temperatures".

This is AccuWeather's inital winter outlook,
which has changed.

In terms of the forecasted amount of snow...not much has changed.  AccuWeather still says "normal lake-effect snow" is expected and some areas could even see above average snowfall.

It seems that the above average warm November that just passed has made AccuWeather second guest their initial forecast.   I'm curious to see if these changes turn out to be correct.  I guess it is a wait and see game now.  As far as the other winter outlooks from NOAA and farmers almanac, no changes have been made.

Changes Coming Soon!

Changes are coming soon for Townville, PA Weather.  Sometime in the near future Townville, PA Weather will be changing over to a new website called Crawford County Weather which will focus on Crawford County as a whole and not just Townville.  I have decided that expanding weather coverage from Townville to county wide will be more ideal for my goals. You may be wondering what is going to happen to Townville weather.  Not much will be changing for Townville.  Crawford County Weather will have a Townville link that will basically give you the same information as the Townville, PA weather website gave you.  The only difference is that you will now have to access it through www.crawfordweather.com instead of www.townvillepaweather.com.  I apologize for the change but I promise it will be an easy transition : ).  So what should you expect from www.crawfordweather.com?  Crawford County Weather will feature weather observations from all over the county including Townville as I mentioned above.  In addition to observations, past weather will be viewable as well.  In terms of forecasts, I will be switching from the NWS forecast to my very own 5 Day Forecast that will be focused on Crawford County.  There will also be many more features including a cleaner and more professional layout.  I hope you all enjoy it.  Go and bookmark www.crawfordweather.com now so when the changes come you will be ready!

Tis the Season For...Snow!

The winter season is right around the corner and we've already have had a taste of some snow.  After waking up to a pile of snow outside your door many wonder how much snow did we get?  Well there is no need to wonder anymore as I will be posting snowfall totals on the website.  They can be found under the Observations tab at the top of the page.  The days snowfall and the yearly snowfall amount will be posted and will be updated frequently.  Now these numbers are not going to be pinpoint accurate but I can guarantee they will be fairly close.  Unfortunately I do not have the best equipment but I am doing the best with what I have!  Make sure to check back to see new totals on the Observations page!

Have a good Thanksgiving!

Kickoff Forecast (10/28/11)

Maplewood vs Iroquois Kickoff Forecast...

Clouds will be increasing as the night progresses.  At game time, expect partly to mostly cloudy skies with chilly temperatures.  It will be another cold night so make sure to bundle up.  GO TIGERS!!!

Game Time Temp:  39°
Conditions: Partly-to-Mostly Cloudy

Townville Borough Trick-or-Treating

Participating in the halloween fun tomorrow?  Here is your Townville Trick-or-Treating forecast...


    Mostly Cloudy          35°-39°

Temperatures will be a little chilly so make sure to bundle up if you or your kids are outside.  There is a slight chance of rain but the chances for rain will diminish as the evening progresses.

A Look Back On Last Winter & A Look Ahead to Winter 2011-2012

Summer has officially passed, leaves are turning color and falling off, and the air is getting cooler.  Before you know it, winter will soon be upon us and you'll be waking up to a pile of snow at your front door.  So what does this winter have in store for us?  Well before we look into that, let's take a look back on last winter.

Snowfall for our area was above average with the majority of the county seeing 150+ inches.

Seasonal Snowfall 2010-2011 NWS CLEVELAND

Overall, temperatures were colder than normal.  Temperatures were below average for the months of December & January and were about average in February.  A strong La Nina can be blamed for the high snow amounts and colder than normal temperatures.  What is La Nina?  In a nutshell, it is cooler than normal waters in the Eastern Pacific near the equator.  This consequently affects the jet stream and the weather around the globe, including right here in Northwestern Pennsylvania. 

La Nina Effects - National Weather Service

So what will this winter be like?  La Nina is expected to still be around so what does this mean for us?  Let's take a look at some predictions.

AccuWeather:

Graphic from AccuWeather Blog

Graphic From AccuWeather Blog

AccuWeather is predicting above normal snow for our area again.

Farmers Almanac:

Graphic from Farmers Almanac

They are predicting above average on snow and around average temperatures.

NOAA's weather prediction has not came out yet but I will post it once I see it.


NOAA's WEATHER PREDICTION

NOAA released their Winter Outlook Thursday.  It is very similar to the other 2.  We have a 33% chance or greater of having a wetter winter.  It appears our area is right on the edge of the 33% or greater chance of having cooler temperatures, but none the less it appears that it will be cooler around here. 

Click to Enlarge - NOAA

Click to Enlarge - NOAA

As you can see from those 2 (3) outlooks, it seems as if this winter will be similar to last winter...colder than normal and above average snowfall.  For those of you who love the snow, this will be another great winter for you.  For those who don't, just remember spring is always just around the corner.

Kickoff Forecast Friday 10/7/11

Maplewood vs Saegertown Kickoff Forecast...

High pressure remains in control so skies will be clear throughout the game.  Temperatures will be in the upper to mid 60's around kickoff and will be falling during the game.  Bring a light jacket or sweatshirt as it will be chillier towards the end of the game.  Overall, it's looking like great football weather!  Go Tigers!

Game Time Temp:  66°
Conditions: Clear